Claim LD10-HQ-C11 (v1.0)

A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution.

Provenance and status

Claim type: FACT (STATUS) (as printed: “FACT / STATUS”)
Publication status: ELIGIBLE_STATUS_ONLY (as printed: “ELIGIBLE STATUS ONLY”)
Verification state: CONCERN_FLAGGED_OR_RETRACTED (STATUS_VERIFIED, EFFECT_HOLD) (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED STATUS / EFFECT HOLD”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
Does not license: Settled conspiracy-belief effect magnitude
Source (field 6, as printed): Costello et al., Science 2024; Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026
Source type (field 7): PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION (as printed: “Peer-reviewed article + editorial notice”)
Institutional position: Independent academic / journal
Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity): CONTESTED (as printed: “CONTESTED”)
Recorded date: 2026-09-25
Currentness / correction: This is the current version. Correction / concern relations of its Sources: SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 CONCERN_FLAGGED_BY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026.

Version

Pinned version v1.0 (entry LD10-HQ-C11--v1.0) — this page never floats to newer evidence.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions:v1.0 · current

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Costello et al., Science 2024” → SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0 — Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment; class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE — status: CONCERN_FLAGGED_BY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026 (explicit public provenance pin)
“Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026” → SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0 — Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026; class EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION — status: FLAGS_CONCERN_ON SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 (explicit public provenance pin)

Read the originals

SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024: open the original
SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026: open the original

All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD10-HQ-C11	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	FACT / STATUS	base_types: FACT · qualifiers: STATUS
4	RESEARCH STRAND	A/B — Persuasion and durability	—
5	MATURITY	CONTESTED	states: CONTESTED
6	SOURCE	Costello et al., Science 2024; Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026	source_ids: SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024, SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026
7	SOURCE TYPE	Peer-reviewed article + editorial notice	classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Independent academic / journal	—
9	SCOPE	U.S. conspiracy-belief experiment	—
10	DESIGN	RCT + publication-status review	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	Original study; corrected pipeline under journal review	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	GPT-4 Turbo	—
13	COMPARATOR	Control conversation	—
14	MAIN RESULT	Science flagged reporting/screening inconsistencies and code-merging errors; authors say corrected results retain direction/significance/size	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Current publication status	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Settled conspiracy-belief effect magnitude	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED STATUS / EFFECT HOLD	state: CONCERN_FLAGGED_OR_RETRACTED · qualifiers: STATUS_VERIFIED, EFFECT_HOLD · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Journal review unresolved at evidence cut	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	No final Science resolution located	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	US / English	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	NO EVIDENCE LOCATED	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	D7, D3, R-1	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Science resolution of the concern	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE STATUS ONLY	state: ELIGIBLE_STATUS_ONLY
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-09-25	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D7 (DOMAIN); D3 (DOMAIN); R-1 (LENS)

Cited by Living Debate versions

LD-10 v0.1 — HQ placement: SC-LD10-03; facets: evidence_status=CONCERN_FLAGGED, publication_mode=STATUS_ONLY, source_maturity=PEER_REVIEWED_WITH_EDITORIAL_NOTICE

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 560827af9593fddbe907d1d398371feee7d6d26b01adf75d4bfc4b5674370f46.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1TwCjF7zxWTDs4bDvwQfEb5hbMAMuMu3vmK53kcOdo54; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-25T21:56:50.285Z; block “ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11” SHA-256 a3b7babf7d304ae4f5d36e7210ac162fcffd65b5f4e2f7135322ca4d040ee890; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0.
SocioLens — Proof Source Registry v0.4 (v0.4) — Drive ID 1_-GLmj6PfetWDQH2KldMv-61vmSmzdAyyxgZZZCFnbE; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-27T19:04:00.374Z; block “REGISTRY ENTRY SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024” SHA-256 c9a3e0887f03cba778b49db78e07cbac64071ec49f577273eedcf0c1f33e9f0f; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT PROOF SOURCE REGISTRY.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/proof-source-registry-v0.4.
SocioLens — Proof Source Registry v0.4 (v0.4) — Drive ID 1_-GLmj6PfetWDQH2KldMv-61vmSmzdAyyxgZZZCFnbE; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-27T19:04:00.374Z; block “REGISTRY ENTRY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026” SHA-256 a9137358e79b2ece2413f8f0efb2ba3fb179c575804527ef059f82bc258ab74d; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT PROOF SOURCE REGISTRY.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/proof-source-registry-v0.4.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5 logical_id/version convention.
CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11 cites "Costello et al., Science 2024"; Builder identification: the cited work is Proof Source Registry v0.4 identity SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 (canonical label "Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment"); SocioLens record v1.0 is its sole record.
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11 cites "Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026"; Builder identification: the cited work is Proof Source Registry v0.4 identity SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026 (canonical label "Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026"); SocioLens record v1.0 is its sole record.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §4, §6): status-only ClaimVersion — the pinned status-bearing / affected field-6 Source record, rendered with its status relation visible.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §4, §6): status-only ClaimVersion — the pinned status-bearing / affected field-6 Source record, rendered with its status relation visible.