Claim LD10-HQ-C07 (v1.0)
A 2025 meta-analysis of seven earlier studies found no average persuasiveness difference between LLMs and humans, with substantial heterogeneity.
Provenance and status
- Claim type
- ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
- Publication status
- ELIGIBLE (VINTAGE) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH VINTAGE QUALIFIER”)
- Verification state
- CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
- Does not license
- Timeless claim that frontier AI is no more persuasive than humans
- Source (field 6, as printed)
- Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025
- Source type (field 7)
- SYSTEMATIC_REVIEW_OR_META_ANALYSIS (as printed: “Meta-analysis”)
- Institutional position
- Independent academic
- Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity)
- EMERGING (as printed: “EMERGING”)
- Recorded date
- 2026-09-25
- Currentness / correction
- This is the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.
Version
Pinned version v1.0 (entry LD10-HQ-C07--v1.0) — this page never floats to newer evidence.
This pinned version is also the current version.
Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)
- “Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025” → SRC-LD10-HOLBLING-MAIER-FEUERRIEGEL-2025--v1.0 — Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025; class SYSTEMATIC_REVIEW_OR_META_ANALYSIS (explicit public provenance pin)
Read the originals
- SRC-LD10-HOLBLING-MAIER-FEUERRIEGEL-2025: open the original
All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)
| # | Canonical field | Canonical value (verbatim) | Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLAIM ID | LD10-HQ-C07 | — |
| 2 | PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM | A 2025 meta-analysis of seven earlier studies found no average persuasiveness difference between LLMs and humans, with substantial heterogeneity. | — |
| 3 | CLAIM TYPE | ESTIMATE | base_types: ESTIMATE |
| 4 | RESEARCH STRAND | A — Controlled persuasion | — |
| 5 | MATURITY | EMERGING | states: EMERGING |
| 6 | SOURCE | Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025 | source_ids: SRC-LD10-HOLBLING-MAIER-FEUERRIEGEL-2025 |
| 7 | SOURCE TYPE | Meta-analysis | classes: SYSTEMATIC_REVIEW_OR_META_ANALYSIS |
| 8 | INSTITUTIONAL POSITION | Independent academic | — |
| 9 | SCOPE | Mostly Anglophone, pre-2025 model vintages | — |
| 10 | DESIGN | Systematic review / meta-analysis | — |
| 11 | SAMPLE / DATASET | 7 studies; 17,422 participants; 12 effects | — |
| 12 | MODEL / TOOL / VERSION | Mixed older LLMs | — |
| 13 | COMPARATOR | Human persuaders | — |
| 14 | MAIN RESULT | g=.02, p=.530; I²=75.97% | — |
| 15 | INFERENTIAL TARGET | Average earlier-vintage LLM-human gap | — |
| 16 | DOES NOT LICENSE | Timeless claim that frontier AI is no more persuasive than humans | — |
| 17 | VERIFICATION STATE | CONTENT VERIFIED | state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN |
| 18 | LIMITATIONS | Few studies; mixed formats and model vintages | — |
| 19 | CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES | C08 newer frontier-model RCTs show expert-human advantage | — |
| 20 | GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE | Mostly Anglophone | — |
| 21 | DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER | NO EVIDENCE LOCATED | — |
| 22 | R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS | D7, R-1 | — |
| 23 | WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM? | Updated meta-analysis including 2025–26 frontier systems | — |
| 24 | PUBLICATION STATUS | ELIGIBLE WITH VINTAGE QUALIFIER | state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: VINTAGE |
| 25 | RECORDED DATE | 2026-09-25 | — |
Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D7 (DOMAIN); R-1 (LENS)
Cited by Living Debate versions
Research-of-record provenance
Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 3b2baeaa219428d7422cd565c04be935467638115c9fc11a61552863dbab4a82.
Frozen Drive-derived inputs
- R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID
1f9tgGnqv80_UyhW0kCgcnTgWNPlx-DYM; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 07 — LD10-HQ-C07 ” SHA-256d11d06bf82adb73c64ccb6733d409bd9eadefea4769d6f6cd2e5bd0e127e8c68; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixturefixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.
Builder decisions (not Drive data)
- VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5 logical_id/version convention.
- CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
- FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-HOLBLING-MAIER-FEUERRIEGEL-2025--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 07 — LD10-HQ-C07 cites "Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block (fixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical); Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #53 Source inventory, factory-hq decision HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld10-t5-20261011T050405Z-01 ruling 3 inventory S4): R07 Batch 01 lines 142, 144; ledger C07 fields 6/7/8; KEY EVIDENCE line 930 of the locked LD-10 Living Debate.
- SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-HOLBLING-MAIER-FEUERRIEGEL-2025--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record "Hölbling, Maier & Feuerriegel, Scientific Reports 2025"; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #53 Source inventory, factory-hq decision HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld10-t5-20261011T050405Z-01 ruling 3 inventory S4): R07 Batch 01 lines 142, 144; ledger C07 fields 6/7/8; KEY EVIDENCE line 930 of the locked LD-10 Living Debate.