Claim LD07-HQ-C09 (v1.0)
Autonomous LLM agents can complete online surveys while passing conventional attention and logic checks at very high rates under tested conditions.
Research opportunities this claim motivates
What this claim leaves open for research. Each is a hypothesis about a gap, not a finding.
- How much AI-assisted or agent responding reaches probability panels?Agents can pass conventional quality checks, so standard panel QA cannot be assumed to catch them.
Provenance and status
- Claim type
- FACT (as printed: “FACT”)
- Publication status
- ELIGIBLE (as printed: “ELIGIBLE”)
- Verification state
- CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (as printed: “CLEARED”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
- Does not license
- Any field prevalence estimate
- Source (field 6, as printed)
- Sean J. Westwood, PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025)
- Source type (field 7)
- PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (as printed: “Peer-reviewed journal article”)
- Institutional position
- Independent academic
- Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity)
- MATURE (CAPABILITY) (as printed: “CAPABILITY MATURE”)
- Recorded date
- 2026-09-25
- Currentness / correction
- This is the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.
Version
Current version v1.0, resolved through the explicit current pointer CLAIM--LD07-HQ-C09.
Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)
- “Sean J. Westwood, PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025)” → SRC-LD07-WESTWOOD-SURVEY-THREAT-2025--v1.0 — Westwood, “The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research,” PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025); class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)
Read the originals
- SRC-LD07-WESTWOOD-SURVEY-THREAT-2025: open the original
All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)
| # | Canonical field | Canonical value (verbatim) | Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLAIM ID | LD07-HQ-C09 | — |
| 2 | PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM | Autonomous LLM agents can complete online surveys while passing conventional attention and logic checks at very high rates under tested conditions. | — |
| 3 | CLAIM TYPE | FACT | base_types: FACT |
| 4 | RESEARCH STRAND | D — Survey/trace contamination | — |
| 5 | MATURITY | CAPABILITY MATURE | states: MATURE · qualifiers: CAPABILITY |
| 6 | SOURCE | Sean J. Westwood, PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025) | source_ids: SRC-LD07-WESTWOOD-SURVEY-THREAT-2025 |
| 7 | SOURCE TYPE | Peer-reviewed journal article | classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE |
| 8 | INSTITUTIONAL POSITION | Independent academic | — |
| 9 | SCOPE | Online survey quality checks | — |
| 10 | DESIGN | Autonomous synthetic-respondent capability experiment | — |
| 11 | SAMPLE / DATASET | 6,000 ACQ trials; broader 43,800 evaluations/139 questions | — |
| 12 | MODEL / TOOL / VERSION | o4-mini primary; key subset across nine LLMs | — |
| 13 | COMPARATOR | Conventional survey-quality checks / expected human constraints | — |
| 14 | MAIN RESULT | 99.8% ACQ pass; perfect on 18/20 check types | — |
| 15 | INFERENTIAL TARGET | Capability to evade checks | — |
| 16 | DOES NOT LICENSE | Any field prevalence estimate | — |
| 17 | VERIFICATION STATE | CLEARED | state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN |
| 18 | LIMITATIONS | Designed capability demonstration; not production-panel observation | — |
| 19 | CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES | Later prevalence audits address different estimand | — |
| 20 | GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE | US / English | — |
| 21 | DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER | Not assessed | — |
| 22 | R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS | T1, D9 | — |
| 23 | WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM? | Robust checks that reliably separate capable agents from humans | — |
| 24 | PUBLICATION STATUS | ELIGIBLE | state: ELIGIBLE |
| 25 | RECORDED DATE | 2026-09-25 | — |
Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: T1 (TENSION); D9 (DOMAIN)
Cited by Living Debate versions
Research-of-record provenance
Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 2495ad73d1553002b0cda712a856ccf6f9b9056d99ee7a7160a5aed46ba1944a.
Frozen Drive-derived inputs
- R03 — LD-07 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID
1xVz_LrQAA8EA1tPhVWIrDgOUU3Zidlg9; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-29T04:31:14.120Z; block “ENTRY 09 — LD07-HQ-C09” SHA-2569cca63585480e85526d69f464287a27db8b934aba686e9e299e5b1c1e51e022d; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixturefixtures/frozen/r03-ld07-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.
Builder decisions (not Drive data)
- VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R03 — LD-07 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5
- CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R03 — LD-07 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
- FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD07-WESTWOOD-SURVEY-THREAT-2025--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 09 — LD07-HQ-C09 cites "Sean J. Westwood, PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025)"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #39 Source inventory): Batch 03 §1; ledger C09; KEY EVIDENCE.
- SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD07-WESTWOOD-SURVEY-THREAT-2025--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record "Sean J. Westwood, PNAS 122(47):e2518075122 (2025)"; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #39 Source inventory): Batch 03 §1; ledger C09; KEY EVIDENCE.