Claim LD05-HQ-C05 (v1.0)

Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.

Provenance and status

Claim type: FACT (as printed: “FACT”)
Publication status: ELIGIBLE (QUALIFIED) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER”)
Verification state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
Does not license: Universal claim that risk assessment worsens racial disparity
Source (field 6, as printed): Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103; Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper
Source type (field 7): PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, WORKING_PAPER (as printed: “Peer-reviewed law/economics article + working paper”)
Institutional position: Independent academic
Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity): RAPIDLY_MATURING (as printed: “RAPIDLY MATURING”)
Recorded date: 2026-09-25
Currentness / correction: This is not the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.

Version

Pinned version v1.0 (entry LD05-HQ-C05--v1.0) — this page never floats to newer evidence.

NEWER VERSION EXISTS: the current version is LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1. This version is explicitly superseded by LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1.

Versions:v1.0 v1.1 · current

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103” → SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0 — Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103 (2018); class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)
“Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper” → SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0 — Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score: Evidence from Kentucky Bail Decisions,” Harvard John M. Olin Fellows’ Discussion Paper 85 (2019); class WORKING_PAPER (explicit public provenance pin)

Read the originals

SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018: open the original

All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD05-HQ-C05	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	FACT	base_types: FACT
4	RESEARCH STRAND	B/F	—
5	MATURITY	RAPIDLY MATURING	states: RAPIDLY_MATURING
6	SOURCE	Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103; Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper	source_ids: SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018, SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019
7	SOURCE TYPE	Peer-reviewed law/economics article + working paper	classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, WORKING_PAPER
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Independent academic	—
9	SCOPE	Kentucky pretrial bail	—
10	DESIGN	Quasi-experimental / observational	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	>1 million cases in Stevenson; case-level Kentucky data in Albright	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	Kentucky pretrial risk/default system	—
13	COMPARATOR	Pre-policy practice / same-score defendants	—
14	MAIN RESULT	Initial practice change eroded; harsher override direction differed by race	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Durability and distribution of algorithmic constraint	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Universal claim that risk assessment worsens racial disparity	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED	state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Exact override proportions/magnitudes remain HOLD	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	Allegheny shows opposite fairness direction for human departure	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	US/English	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	Black defendants exposed to harsher departures in working-paper evidence	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	D5, D4a, L-A, L-C	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Peer-reviewed update reversing the direction	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER	state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: QUALIFIED
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-09-25	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D5 (DOMAIN); D4a (SUB_AREA); L-A (LENS); L-C (LENS)

Cited by Living Debate versions

LD-05 v0.1

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 5deb070da0e89df447a7770752bd275e55af667fbc69a9d9ceea75696b5f67d3.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

R04 — LD-05 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1WkAv7jmWIrr1GBmYSv66jDc8m222Yd9z; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05” SHA-256 607e0a0ac915708e9f46dfd93e0e44746ed630f97289c227ad6c6d49dd862493; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r04-ld05-claim-ledger-v1.0.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R04 — LD-05 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5
CURRENT_POINTER = false — basis: not current: superseded by LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1 (manifest supersedes relation)
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05 cites "Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #37 Source inventory): ledger C05 fields 6–8; Batch 01 §6 "Primary source:"; KEY EVIDENCE.
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05 cites "Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #37 Source inventory): ledger C02/C05 fields 6–8; Batch 01 §7; KEY EVIDENCE ("Working paper").
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record.