Claim LD03-SL-C04 (v1.0)

In a survey of nearly 6,000 senior executives in the US, UK, Germany and Australia, 69% of firms actively used AI, but nine in ten executives reported no impact on employment or productivity over the previous three years; they expected AI to raise their firm's productivity by 1.4% over the next three.

Provenance and status

Claim type: ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
Publication status: ELIGIBLE (QUALIFIED) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER”)
Verification state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (ABSTRACT_ONLY) (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED ABSTRACT”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
Does not license: Measured productivity; causal effects; a claim that impact is zero
Source (field 6, as printed): Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026
Source type (field 7): WORKING_PAPER (as printed: “Academic working paper”)
Institutional position: Mixed
Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity): EMERGING (as printed: “EMERGING”)
Recorded date: 2026-10-15
Currentness / correction: This is the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.

Version

Pinned version v1.0 (entry LD03-SL-C04--v1.0) — this page never floats to newer evidence.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions:v1.0 · current

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026” → SRC-SL-YOTZOV-ET-AL-NBER-34836--v1.0 — Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026; class WORKING_PAPER (explicit public provenance pin)

All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD03-SL-C04	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	In a survey of nearly 6,000 senior executives in the US, UK, Germany and Australia, 69% of firms actively used AI, but nine in ten executives reported no impact on employment or productivity over the previous three years; they expected AI to raise their firm's productivity by 1.4% over the next three.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	ESTIMATE	base_types: ESTIMATE
4	RESEARCH STRAND	B — Firm and executive outcomes	—
5	MATURITY	EMERGING	states: EMERGING
6	SOURCE	Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026	source_ids: SRC-SL-YOTZOV-ET-AL-NBER-34836
7	SOURCE TYPE	Academic working paper	classes: WORKING_PAPER
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Mixed	—
9	SCOPE	Firms in the US, UK, Germany and Australia	—
10	DESIGN	Executive surveys	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	Nearly 6,000 senior executives	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	AI in general	—
13	COMPARATOR	None (self-reported impact and expectations)	—
14	MAIN RESULT	69% of firms actively use AI; executives who use it average 1.5 hours a week; nine in ten report no impact on employment or productivity over three years; expected over the next three years: productivity +1.4%, output +0.8%, employment −0.7% (employees expect employment +0.5%)	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Executives' reports of realized and expected AI impact at their own firms	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Measured productivity; causal effects; a claim that impact is zero	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED ABSTRACT	state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · qualifiers: ABSTRACT_ONLY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Self-reports and expectations, not measured outcomes; checked against the official abstract only, read on the NBER page on 15 October 2026; the full text and survey dates were not read	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	Consistent with US executives reporting perceived gains above measured gains; contrasts with large task-level gains in experiments	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	Multi-country	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	Usage is higher at younger and more productive firms	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	LD-03, D2	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Full-text reading that changes the figures, or later waves reporting realized impact	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER	state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: QUALIFIED
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-10-15	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: LD-03 (LIVING_DEBATE); D2 (DOMAIN)

Cited by Living Debate versions

LD-03 v0.1

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 50e9a16364267b5d3bb9e2216f9d257313b81b3970cd83382e49de16c6222632.

Repository-authored inputs (not Drive exports)

SocioLens claim — LD03-SL-C04 v1.0 (v1.0) — written in the SocioLens repository by Project Lead (Claude, AI) on 2026-10-15; no Drive identity exists. Authority: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-03 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-03 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts. Block “ENTRY 04 — LD03-SL-C04” SHA-256 3c09a20f59d31dd88f9cfae33d78f9dffb2ebee9aee469123af6781269de45b6; fixture fixtures/authored/claims/LD03-SL-C04--v1.0.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the repository-authored claim fixture version (SocioLens claim — LD03-SL-C04 v1.0); the first version of a new Claim of the LD-03 debate
CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: repository-authored claim "SocioLens claim — LD03-SL-C04 v1.0" (Project Lead (Claude, AI), 2026-10-15); basis: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-03 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-03 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-SL-YOTZOV-ET-AL-NBER-34836--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 04 — LD03-SL-C04 cites "Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026"; the only field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's repository-authored ledger block.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-SL-YOTZOV-ET-AL-NBER-34836--v1.0 — basis: explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion (Amendment v1.2 §6): the pinned field-6 Source record "Yotzov, Barrero, Bloom et al., “Firm Data on AI,” NBER Working Paper 34836, revised March 2026".