Claim LD02-HQ-C16 (v1.0)
US work-use intensity differs sharply by measure: in Q2 2026 about 45.2% of employed adults reported current generative-AI use for work, 39.2% reported use in the last week and 13.7% reported use every workday.
Research opportunities this claim motivates
What this claim leaves open for research. Each is a hypothesis about a gap, not a finding.
- Does the young-worker hiring gap hold up with survey-measured AI use instead of exposure?Representative survey data already measure US work use of generative AI, and intensity differs sharply by measure (current use, last week, every workday); the claim warns that such rates are not a causal treatment, so the design treats them as a better-targeted ranking, not as an experiment.
Provenance and status
- Claim type
- ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
- Publication status
- ELIGIBLE (DATE_OR_METRIC) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH DATE/METRIC QUALIFIER”)
- Verification state
- CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
- Does not license
- Firm adoption rate; causal employment treatment; equal intensity among “users”
- Source (field 6, as printed)
- Bick, Blandin & Deming Real-Time Population Survey / Federal Reserve FRED series, Q2 2026
- Source type (field 7)
- SURVEY (as printed: “Survey / official statistical dissemination”)
- Institutional position
- Academic / Federal Reserve data dissemination
- Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity)
- RAPIDLY_MATURING (as printed: “RAPIDLY MATURING”)
- Recorded date
- 2026-09-25
- Currentness / correction
- This is the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.
Version
Current version v1.0, resolved through the explicit current pointer CLAIM--LD02-HQ-C16.
Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)
- “Bick, Blandin & Deming Real-Time Population Survey / Federal Reserve FRED series, Q2 2026” → SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026--v1.0 — Bick, Blandin & Deming Real-Time Population Survey / Federal Reserve FRED series, Q2 2026; class SURVEY (explicit public provenance pin)
Read the originals
- SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026: open one of the original documents
All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)
| # | Canonical field | Canonical value (verbatim) | Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLAIM ID | LD02-HQ-C16 | — |
| 2 | PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM | US work-use intensity differs sharply by measure: in Q2 2026 about 45.2% of employed adults reported current generative-AI use for work, 39.2% reported use in the last week and 13.7% reported use every workday. | — |
| 3 | CLAIM TYPE | ESTIMATE | base_types: ESTIMATE |
| 4 | RESEARCH STRAND | A — Exposure, adoption and actual use | — |
| 5 | MATURITY | RAPIDLY MATURING | states: RAPIDLY_MATURING |
| 6 | SOURCE | Bick, Blandin & Deming Real-Time Population Survey / Federal Reserve FRED series, Q2 2026 | source_ids: SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026 |
| 7 | SOURCE TYPE | Survey / official statistical dissemination | classes: SURVEY |
| 8 | INSTITUTIONAL POSITION | Academic / Federal Reserve data dissemination | — |
| 9 | SCOPE | US employed adults, Q2 2026 | — |
| 10 | DESIGN | Repeated population survey | — |
| 11 | SAMPLE / DATASET | Real-Time Population Survey | — |
| 12 | MODEL / TOOL / VERSION | Generative AI tools broadly | — |
| 13 | COMPARATOR | Different use-intensity definitions | — |
| 14 | MAIN RESULT | ~45.2% current work use; ~39.2% last-week work use; ~13.7% every-workday use | — |
| 15 | INFERENTIAL TARGET | Work-use prevalence/intensity | — |
| 16 | DOES NOT LICENSE | Firm adoption rate; causal employment treatment; equal intensity among “users” | — |
| 17 | VERIFICATION STATE | CONTENT VERIFIED | state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN |
| 18 | LIMITATIONS | Self-report; rapidly changing measure; survey definition matters | — |
| 19 | CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES | Complements Census firm/task-use distinction | — |
| 20 | GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE | US / English | — |
| 21 | DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER | Use varies by occupation/education; not adjudicated here as a public subgroup claim | — |
| 22 | R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS | D2, L-C, R-1 | — |
| 23 | WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM? | New quarterly survey vintage supersedes Q2 2026 | — |
| 24 | PUBLICATION STATUS | ELIGIBLE WITH DATE/METRIC QUALIFIER | state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: DATE_OR_METRIC |
| 25 | RECORDED DATE | 2026-09-25 | — |
Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D2 (DOMAIN); L-C (LENS); R-1 (LENS)
Cited by Living Debate versions
Research-of-record provenance
Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 9cb701b5dbf125de3d562437eed8a46f0df7031d1601c273214cd35709ba1741.
Frozen Drive-derived inputs
- R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID
1y7Iid5SaEnjKaPZ7ZsSSVj8dASVlSF8b; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 16 — LD02-HQ-C16” SHA-2566f34cd5debe65fcbc83efa207fbf1bf43cbf3a6eb5d22a34c53df00f95aecd37; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixturefixtures/frozen/r05-ld02-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.
Builder decisions (not Drive data)
- VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the locked R05 canonical ledger v1.0; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 1 authorizes completion of its existing canonical claim corpus. This is the first materialized version of this logical Claim, not a research update.
- CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
- FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 16 — LD02-HQ-C16 cites "Bick, Blandin & Deming Real-Time Population Survey / Federal Reserve FRED series, Q2 2026"; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5: this exact frozen field-6 citation segment selects SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026--v1.0 under ruling 4; identity established by B3 lines 166–191 and the pinned R05 ledger fields 6/7/8.
- SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026--v1.0 — basis: HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5 / Publication System Amendment v1.2 §§4,6: explicit version-pinned public provenance selection of SRC-LD02-RPS-FRED-Q2-2026--v1.0 for LD02-HQ-C16--v1.0. Preserve the canonical qualification and independently authorized Source metadata.