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Claim LD02-HQ-C14 (v1.0)

In a preregistered experiment with 758 BCG consultants, GPT-4 users completed 12.2% more inside-frontier tasks, worked 25.1% faster and produced roughly 30–34% higher human-graded quality, but were 19 percentage points less likely to be correct on a task outside the tested frontier.

Provenance and status

Claim type
ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
Publication status
ELIGIBLE (as printed: “ELIGIBLE”)
Verification state
CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (as printed: “CONTENT VERIFIED”; verified by: UNKNOWN)
Does not license
General consulting labour-demand effect; a single global “GPT-4 productivity effect”
Source (field 6, as printed)
Dell’Acqua et al., “Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier,” Organization Science 37(2), 2026
Source type (field 7)
PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (as printed: “Peer-reviewed journal article”)
Institutional position
Mixed / BCG-affiliated research setting
Maturity (claim evidence / publication maturity)
MATURE (as printed: “MATURE”)
Recorded date
2026-09-25
Currentness / correction
This is the current version. No correction or concern relation is recorded on its Sources.

Version

Pinned version v1.0 (entry LD02-HQ-C14--v1.0) — this page never floats to newer evidence.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions:v1.0 · current

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

Read the originals

All 25 canonical Claim fields (raw values and normalized values)
#Canonical fieldCanonical value (verbatim)Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1CLAIM IDLD02-HQ-C14—
2PUBLIC-FACING CLAIMIn a preregistered experiment with 758 BCG consultants, GPT-4 users completed 12.2% more inside-frontier tasks, worked 25.1% faster and produced roughly 30–34% higher human-graded quality, but were 19 percentage points less likely to be correct on a task outside the tested frontier.—
3CLAIM TYPEESTIMATEbase_types: ESTIMATE
4RESEARCH STRANDB — Task-level productivity and quality—
5MATURITYMATUREstates: MATURE
6SOURCEDell’Acqua et al., “Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier,” Organization Science 37(2), 2026source_ids: SRC-LD02-DELLACQUA-ORGANIZATION-SCIENCE-2026
7SOURCE TYPEPeer-reviewed journal articleclasses: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
8INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONMixed / BCG-affiliated research setting—
9SCOPE758 BCG knowledge workers; selected consulting tasks—
10DESIGNPreregistered randomised experiment—
11SAMPLE / DATASET18 inside-frontier tasks plus outside-frontier managerial task—
12MODEL / TOOL / VERSIONGPT-4—
13COMPARATORRandomised no-AI group—
14MAIN RESULT+12.2% tasks; +25.1% speed; +29.9% to +33.9% human-graded quality depending treatment arm; −19pp correctness outside frontier—
15INFERENTIAL TARGETTask-specific productivity and failure across capability boundary—
16DOES NOT LICENSEGeneral consulting labour-demand effect; a single global “GPT-4 productivity effect”—
17VERIFICATION STATECONTENT VERIFIEDstate: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18LIMITATIONSOne firm; specific task set; model vintage—
19CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCESShows why positive task studies and failure results can coexist—
20GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGEGlobal firm / English—
21DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGERBelow-average performers benefit more in reported analyses—
22R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKSD2, D3, R-2—
23WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?Newer-model replication erases task-boundary failures—
24PUBLICATION STATUSELIGIBLEstate: ELIGIBLE
25RECORDED DATE2026-09-25—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D2 (DOMAIN); D3 (DOMAIN); R-2 (LENS)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 24caaffc8834bc376a1b363230f307b5237e97602ea0b6c253a1275ccf73d688.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

  • R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1y7Iid5SaEnjKaPZ7ZsSSVj8dASVlSF8b; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 14 — LD02-HQ-C14” SHA-256 316d60223130d80f073f8663ebafbf1c7b6343ca8a733221776d255838e13714; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r05-ld02-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

  • VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the locked R05 canonical ledger v1.0; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 1 authorizes completion of its existing canonical claim corpus. This is the first materialized version of this logical Claim, not a research update.
  • CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
  • FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD02-DELLACQUA-ORGANIZATION-SCIENCE-2026--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 14 — LD02-HQ-C14 cites "Dell’Acqua et al., “Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier,” Organization Science 37(2), 2026"; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5: this exact frozen field-6 citation segment selects SRC-LD02-DELLACQUA-ORGANIZATION-SCIENCE-2026--v1.0 under ruling 4; identity established by B3 lines 103–139 and the pinned R05 ledger fields 6/7/8.
  • SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD02-DELLACQUA-ORGANIZATION-SCIENCE-2026--v1.0 — basis: HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5 / Publication System Amendment v1.2 §§4,6: explicit version-pinned public provenance selection of SRC-LD02-DELLACQUA-ORGANIZATION-SCIENCE-2026--v1.0 for LD02-HQ-C14--v1.0. Preserve the canonical qualification and independently authorized Source metadata.