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Research opportunity · Discretion curtailed, relocated or encoded?

In contracts for public decision systems, who controls thresholds, variables and updates?

Question

In contracts and tender documents for public-sector risk-scoring, profiling and case-routing systems in several countries, who holds authority over thresholds, input variables, retraining and updates, what audit and documentation rights does the agency keep, and how does this differ between vendor-built and in-house systems?

Institutional practice unknownOne PhD chapter or paperLow costPartly addressed

Why it matters

If consequential judgement relocates into system design, the question of who designs matters. Legal scholars have argued that procurement hands policy choices to vendors, and interview studies show procurement staff struggling to govern AI purchases, but no one has systematically read the contracts to see where authority over thresholds, updates and documentation is actually placed. That is a researchable, document-based question.

The debate lists this among what we still do not know: How much substantive discretion sits with vendors and procurement contracts rather than public agencies?

Evidence that motivates it

A possible design

Assemble a corpus of contracts, statements of work and tender documents for public-sector decision-support systems (benefits fraud, employment profiling, child welfare, immigration routing, policing) from open procurement portals (UK Find a Tender and Contracts Finder, EU Tenders Electronic Daily, US state and city portals) and FOI requests for unpublished schedules. Target 60 to 100 contracts across at least three countries. Develop and pilot a codebook: who sets and may change thresholds; who chooses input variables; who may retrain or update the model and with what notice; performance and error targets; agency rights to inspect code, data and documentation; audit and bias-testing obligations; trade-secret and confidentiality clauses; liability; exit and data-return terms. Double-code a subsample for reliability. Compare vendor-built with in-house or publicly documented systems, and follow up with a few interviews with procurement officers to check how terms work in practice. Position the codebook as extending the US state-level contract review by Cusenza (2026, listed below) to decision-authority terms, keep the corpus to decision-support systems, and include at least two non-US jurisdictions.

Data needed

Public procurement records and FOI responses (redactions expected); a codebook; a second coder; optional interviews with procurement staff.

Feasibility

One PhD chapter or paper. Low: documents are free or obtainable by FOI; costs are mainly coder time. Contracts are often redacted or withheld on commercial-confidentiality grounds; the pattern of redaction should be coded as data. Contracts show formal allocation of authority, not how it is exercised, so the interviews matter.

Has this been done?

Partly done already: related work covers some of this question (first-pass screen of 12 October 2026, checked again on 13 October 2026).

The argument that procurement shifts policy choices to vendors is established in legal scholarship, and records-request and interview studies exist, including a CHI 2026 interview study of procurement as a governance mechanism. A 2026 systematic review of US state-level AI procurement contracts examines data access, intellectual property, testing and cybersecurity terms and finds algorithmic-governance risks rarely addressed; other recent work analyses vendor self-disclosures or model clauses rather than executed contracts. No study was found that codes, across countries, where authority over thresholds, input variables, retraining and updates, and documentation sits in contracts for public-sector decision-support systems, or compares vendor-built with in-house systems.

How strong this evidence is

Nearest work found

Literature check

Narrowed to what the literature leaves open. A systematic review of publicly available US state-level AI procurement contracts now exists (Cusenza, SSRN 6812838, forthcoming Drexel Law Review), covering data access, intellectual property, stakeholder engagement, testing and cybersecurity provisions and finding that contracts rarely address algorithmic-governance risks. That covers part of the proposed contract analysis, but on the abstract it is US-only, state-level, not limited to decision-support systems, and does not code authority over thresholds, input variables, retraining or updates, nor compare vendor-built with in-house systems. Other new work codes vendor FactSheets (Kuehnert et al., 2026) or model clauses and guidance (Abdulbari, Frontiers 2026), not executed contracts. The opportunity should be narrowed to decision authority in contracts for decision-support systems, cross-nationally.

Searched: web (extended and standard); arxiv.org; ssrn.com; osf.io; socarxiv.org; dl.acm.org; sciencedirect.com; journals.sagepub.com; tandfonline.com; cambridge.org; academic.oup.com; Dutch-language web; frontiersin.org (opened). Checked by Claude (SocioLens Project Lead) with AI research agents, by web search; not a person and not a domain expert.

The screen before this check

Partly done already: related work covers some of this question (first-pass screen of 12 October 2026).

The argument that procurement shifts policy choices to vendors is established in legal scholarship, and records-request and interview studies exist, including a CHI 2026 interview study of procurement as an AI governance mechanism. No study was found that systematically codes contract terms to show where authority over thresholds, variables, updates and documentation sits for public-sector decision systems.

Search queries used
  • content analysis public sector AI procurement contracts vendor control model thresholds decision authority algorithmic systems study
  • "procurement" algorithmic decision systems government contracts analysis vendors discretion accountability empirical FOI contracts coded
  • Mulligan Bamberger "Procurement as Policy" administrative process machine learning
  • study coding contract clauses AI vendors government model updates intellectual property audit rights data ownership sample of public contracts

Literature check, 13 October 2026:

  • empirical analysis of government AI procurement contracts clauses vendor control audit rights model updates corpus coded
  • public procurement algorithmic systems contracts tender documents analysis accountability vendor [allowed_domains: arxiv.org, ssrn.com, papers.ssrn.com, osf.io, socarxiv.org]
  • algorithmic accountability public procurement contracts analysis government decision systems [allowed_domains: dl.acm.org, sciencedirect.com, journals.sagepub.com, tandfonline.com, cambridge.org, academic.oup.com]
  • "Procurement as Policy" Mulligan Bamberger cited empirical study contracts algorithmic systems 2025 2026
  • aanbesteding algoritmes overheid contracten leverancier zeggenschap analyse onderzoek risicoprofilering
  • Cusenza "From Policy to Practice: Closing the Gap in AI Public Procurement"

Provenance

RO-LD05-05 v2. Drafted by Claude (SocioLens Project Lead), AI-drafted from the LD-05 debate on 2026-10-12. Checked by an independent AI reviewer with fresh context (not a person), 12 October 2026: every nearest-work citation checked against its source page; corrections applied. Not yet reviewed by a domain expert. This is a research hypothesis, not a finding.

Changes

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